I am slowly growing my database of NHL Draft data (if someone reading this has their own database of prospect stats and wouldn't mind sharing, please contact me). I decided to look at goalies selections in the NHL draft, mostly because I haven't seen much done on the subject.
Below is a chart I created of goalies drafted between 1997 and 2006 (I chose this time frame in hopes to keep the sample relatively modern while still giving them ample time to crack an NHL roster).
I define success as the goalie having played at least 100 NHL games as of the end of the 2014 season. The tier's section sorts the goalies by what round they were drafted:
- Top - Rounds 1-3
- Middle - Rounds 4-6 (pre-lockout) Rounds 4-5 (post-lockout)
- Bottom - Rounds 7-9 (pre-lockout) Rounds 6-7 (post-lockout)
I highlighted the most striking observation in that chart. (Sorry if the formatting is confusing).
| Tier | League | Players | Success | Busts | Success Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top | Total | 85 | 27 | 58 | 31.76% |
| CHL | 44 | 14 | 30 | 31.82% | |
| Not CHL | 41 | 13 | 28 | 31.71% | |
| Middle | Total | 101 | 10 | 91 | 9.90% |
| CHL | 46 | 5 | 41 | 10.87% | |
| Not CHL | 55 | 5 | 50 | 9.09% | |
| Bottom | Total | 95 | 9 | 86 | 9.47% |
| CHL | 34 | 0 | 34 | 0.00% | |
| Not CHL | 61 | 9 | 52 | 14.75% | |
| Total | 281 | 46 | 235 | 16.37% |
No goalie who played their draft eligible season in the CHL (OHL, WHL, QMJHL) between 1997 and 2006 and was drafted in the later rounds of the draft has ever managed to play 100 NHL games.
The 2 Non-CHL goalies were Brian Elliott (Ajax-OPJHL) and Scott Clemmensen (Des Moines).
The other 7 were all Europeans: Henrik Lundqvist, Pasi Nurminen, Cristobal Huet, Martin Gerber, Fredrik Norrena, Jaroslav Halak, Pekka Rinne.
Why is this the case? I really don't know. Maybe all of the CHL prospects are so highly scouted and scrutinized it's harder to steal a future contributor in the later rounds. If I am running a draft table however, I am definitely leaning towards taking a European goalie with those late round picks.
If you have any theories let me know, I will be looking into more NHL draft material in the upcoming weeks.
My ex-husband and I had always managed to stay friendly after our divorce in February 2017. But I always wanted to get back together with him, All it took was a visit to this spell casters website last December, because my dream was to start a new year with my husband, and live happily with him.. This spell caster requested a specific love spell for me and my husband, and I accepted it. And this powerful spell caster began to work his magic. And 48 hours after this spell caster worked for me, my husband called me back for us to be together again, and he was remorseful for all his wrong deeds. My spell is working because guess what: My “husband” is back and we are making preparations on how to go to court and withdraw our divorce papers ASAP. This is nothing short of a miracle. Thank you Dr Emu for your powerful spells. Words are not enough. here is his Email: emutemple@gmail.com or call/text him on his WhatsApp +2347012841542
ReplyDelete